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Momo's avatar

Its not just heavy vs light and declining EROI, the production volume of shale is also due for steep decline after a couple more years of plateau (of course this is related to eroi decline). Even Wall Street Goehring&Rozencwaijc have talked about this for years. If i remember correctly they estimate we are at about 45% of ultimately recovered resources already. Oil CEO's talked about projected shale production decline in mainstream media like financial times. So what happened the last time US faced steep domestic oil production decline? They made a strategic partnership, some say even some sort of coup, with saudi arabia to force them to sell in dollars. Obviously the drug thing is just propaganda, coming from the biggest drug trafficer of them all, the US military intelligence apparatus. Just look up Garry Webb.

I also want to mention that some experts seriously doubt the exorbitant amounts of claimed reserves in Venezuela. In Laherrere and Hall's paper of "how much oil is there to produce" i think they half the official numbers.

In general controlling venezuela and iran, the countries witht he biggest oil reserves, should ensure US imperial control and the continued dollar hegemony. Thats how you control china, they can have the most advanced production and technology, if you control the fuel tap youre fine i guess.

Marty Gray's avatar

Thank you for your well measured article.

A Empire based on lies and deceit will eventually crumble. The Earth will sigh in relief. So be it !

✨🙏🌏

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